Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Dow Theory Update for Dec 11: Stocks up. No change in trends




 Precious metals mostly down.


Let’s get started with our Dow Theory commentary for today.

The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed up. The primary trend remains bearish and the secondary trend (secondary reaction) bullish.

Volume was higher than yesterday’s and since today was an up day, it has a bullish connotation (at last!). The overall pattern of volume remains, nonetheless, bearish.

Gold and silver closed down today. I keep watching the Nov 2 lows. A joint violation of them would mean a primary bear market signal.

SIL closed up, and GDX closed down. The primary trend remains bullish, and the secondary trend remains bearish.

Here you have the figures of the markets I monitor for today:


Data for December 11, 2012





DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SPY




SPY
Bear market started
09/14/2012 147,24
Bear market signaled
11/16/2012 136,37
Last close
12/11/2012 143,44
Current stop level: Bull market high

147,24




Price chg since bear mkt signaled Tot decline since start bear mkt Max Pot Loss %




5,18% -2,58% -7,38%




DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR GOLD (GLD)



GLD
Bull market started
05/16/2012 149,46
Bull market signaled
08/22/2012 160,54
Last close
12/11/2012 165,65
Current stop level: Sec React low
11/02/2012 162,6




Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Min Pot Gain %




3,18% 10,83% 1,28%




DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SILVER (SLV)



SLV
Bull market started
06/28/2012 25,63
Bull market signaled
08/22/2012 28,92
Last close
12/11/2012 31,9
Current stop level: Sec React low
11/02/2012 29,95




Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Min Pot Gain %




10,30% 24,46% 3,56%




DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR ETF SIL



SIL
Bull market started
07/24/2012 17,08
Bull market signaled
09/04/2012 21,83
Last close
12/11/2012 22,95
Current stop level: Bear mkt low

17,08




Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %




5,13% 34,37% 27,81%




DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR ETF GDX



GDX
Bull market started
05/16/2012 39,56
Bull market signaled
09/04/2012 47,77
Last close
12/11/2012 46,28
Current stop level: Bear mkt low

39,56




Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %




-3,12% 16,99% 20,75%


Sincerely,

The Dow Theorist

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