Monday, November 5, 2012

Dow Theory Update for Nov 5: Mildly bullish day.




No changes in trends.

The SPY, Industrials and Transports closed up for today. Technically, nothing has changed. The primary trend remains bullish, and the secondary trend remains bearish.

Volume was lower today, which render it a bearish volume day, since the up close was not confirmed by higher volume. Hence, the pattern of volume continues short term bearish.

As to gold, silver and their respective miners ETFs, GLD and SLV closed up (albeit timidly) and GDX and SIL closed down. Technically, nothing has changed. The primary trend remains bullish and the secondary trend bearish. The secondary reaction runs its course.

SIL refuses to violate the lower boundary of its trading range. Hence, it is still doubtful whether the miners are in a secondary reaction if at all.  

Here you have the figures of the markets I monitor for today:


Data for November 5, 2012





DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SPY



SPY
Bull market started 06/04/2012 128,1
Bull market signaled 06/29/2012 136,1
Last close
11/05/2012 141,85
Current stop level: Bear mkt low
128,1




Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %




4,22% 10,73% 6,25%




DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR GOLD (GLD)



GLD
Bull market started 05/16/2012 149,46
Bull market signaled 08/22/2012 160,54
Last close
11/05/2012 163,23
Current stop level: Bear mkt low
149,46




Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %




1,68% 9,21% 7,41%




DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SILVER (SLV)



SLV
Bull market started 06/28/2012 25,63
Bull market signaled 08/22/2012 28,92
Last close
11/05/2012 30,19
Current stop level: Bear mkt low
25,63




Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %




4,39% 17,79% 12,84%




DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR ETF SIL



SIL
Bull market started 07/24/2012 17,08
Bull market signaled09/04/2012 21,83
Last close
11/05/2012 24,18
Current stop level: Bear mkt low
17,08




Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %




10,77% 41,57% 27,81%




DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR ETF GDX



GDX
Bull market started 05/16/2012 39,56
Bull market signaled 09/04/2012 47,77
Last close
11/05/2012 49,45
Current stop level: Bear mkt low
39,56




Unrlzd gain % Tot advance since start bull mkt Max Pot Loss %




3,52% 25,00% 20,75%





Sincerely,

The Dow Theorist

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