Dow Theory Update for May 23: Stocks close down. No change in trends

Gold and silver up.

Jon Strebler of the Dow Theory Letters nails it.

A couple of days ago, Jon Strebler, Russell’s associate in the Dow Theory Letters, nailed it. He advocated for minimalism in investing. The less noise, the less information, which mostly is random, the better. The bottom line for him is the charts. In his own words: “Are the charts bullish or are they bearish? Is the market going up, or is it going down? That’s all that matters” (emphasis supplied by Strebler).

However, to be a real “minimalist” takes time and experience.

Stocks

The SPY and Industrials closed down. The Transports closed up. The primary and secondary trend is bullish.

Today’s volume was lower than yesterday’s, which is bullish. As declining prices were not met by expanding volume.

Gold and silver

GLD and SLV closed up. The primary and secondary trend is bearish.

GDX and SIL, the gold and silver miners ETFs closed up. The primary and secondary trend is bearish.

Here you have the figures of the markets I monitor for today.

 

Data for May 23, 2013
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SPY
			SPY
Bull market started		11/15/2012	135.7
Bull market signaled		01/02/2013	146.06
Last close		05/23/2013	165.45
Current stop level: Bear mkt low			135.7
Unrlzd gain %	Tot advance since start bull mkt	Max Pot Loss %
13.28%	21.92%	7.63%
Alternative Schannep's stoploss:
Highest closing high		05/21/2013	167.17
16% stoploss from highest closing high			140.42
		Max Pot Loss %
		-3.86%
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR GOLD (GLD)
			GLD
Bull market started		05/16/2012	149.46
Bull market signaled		08/22/2012	160.54
Exit December 20		12/20/2012	161.16
Current stop level: Sec React low		11/02/2012	162.6
Realized Loss %	Tot advance since start bull mkt
0.39%	7.83%
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SILVER (SLV)
			SLV
Bull market started		06/28/2012	25.63
Bull market signaled		08/22/2012	28.92
Exit December 20		12/20/2012	29
Current stop level: Sec React low		11/02/2012	29.95
Realized gain %	Tot advance since start bull mkt
0.28%	13.15%
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR ETF SIL
			SIL
Bull market started		07/24/2012	17.08
Bull market signaled		09/04/2012	21.83
Exit January 23		01/24/2013	21.69
Current stop level: Sec React low		11/15/2012	21.87
Realized Loss %	Tot advance since start bull mkt	Max Pot Loss %
-0.64%	26.99%	27.81%
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR ETF GDX
			GDX
Bull market started		05/16/2012	39.56
Bull market signaled		09/04/2012	47.77
Exit January 23		01/24/2013	44.56
Current stop level: Sec React low		12/05/2012	45.35
Realized Loss %	Tot advance since start bull mkt	Max Pot Loss %
-6.72%	12.64%	20.75%

Sincerely,

The Dow Theorist.