And Trends remain unchanged
If you are
interested in reading the 2013 Dow Theory review please go here. You’ll see that we tended to be on the right side of the
market most of the time.
US stocks
The SPY, Industrials and the
Transports closed up. However, the 12/31 closing highs remain unbroken.
The primary trend was
reconfirmed as bullish on October 17th and November 13th, for the
reasons given here and here.
Gold and Silver
SLV and GLD closed down. For
the reasons I explained here,
and more recently here, I feel the
primary trend remains bearish. Here
I analyzed the primary bear market signal given on December 20, 2012. The
primary trend was reconfirmed bearish, as explained here.
The secondary trend is bullish (secondary reaction against the primary
bearish trend), as explained here.
As to the gold and silver
miners ETFs, SIL closed down, and GDX closed up. The primary trend is bearish,
as was profusely explained here and here. Likewise, the
secondary trend is bearish.
Here you have the figures for
the SPY which represents the only market with a suggested open long position:
Data for January 7, 2014 | ||
DOW THEORY PRIMARY TREND MONITOR SPY | ||
Bull market started | 06/24/2013 | |
Bull market signaled | 07/18/2013 | |
Last close | 01/07/2014 | |
Current stop level: Secondary reaction low | ||
Unrlzd gain % | Tot advance since start bull mkt | Max Pot Loss % |
8.65% | 16.82% | 2.05% |
Sincerely,
The Dow Theorist
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